Livability and futures studies of worn-out urban textures: Scenario analysis for evaluating the livability system and achieving sustainability
Abstract
Urban worn-out textures, due to their ancient and historically valuable physical structures, exhibit low adaptability to urban developments and advancements. Tehran, as a city with a rich historical background, also boasts considerable worn-out textures. Due to economic, geographical, and political conditions, a large population resides in these textures. In this regard, the present research aims to investigate the livability status of residents, identify key indicators, and design scenarios in the worn-out textures of Tehran city. This paper proposes a new approach to MicMac that promotes driving forces to scenarios. The results indicate that the livability of residents in worn-out textures of Tehran city, particularly in central regions, is in undesirable conditions. Furthermore, the analysis of the MicMac matrix showed that housing prices, residents’ income, investment, and an increase in economic activities, as well as the role of urban management, are driving forces that have a vital impact on the livability of residents in worn-out textures. These driving forces have depicted three scenarios for the livability of worn-out textures in Tehran city until the year 2032.
Keyword : urban livability, sustainability, worn-out urban textures, structural analysis, indicators, scenario planning, futures studies
How to Cite
Hashemkhani Zolfani, S., Hedayatnezhad Kashi, S. M., & Antuchevičienė, J. (2024). Livability and futures studies of worn-out urban textures: Scenario analysis for evaluating the livability system and achieving sustainability. International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 28(2), 101–115. https://doi.org/10.3846/ijspm.2024.21341
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
References
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Gieling, J., & Haartsen, T. (2017). Liveable villages: The relationship between volunteering and liveability in the perceptions of rural residents. Sociologia Ruralis, 57, 576–597. https://doi.org/10.1111/soru.12151
Hashemkhani Zolfani, S. H., Kashi, S. M. H., & Antuchevičienė, J. (2023). Evaluation of urban livability based on spatial distribution and functional radius of land uses. International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 27(6), 362–378. https://doi.org/10.3846/ijspm.2023.20580
Hashemkhani Zolfani, S., Hedayatnezhad Kashi, S. M., & Baharvandi, S. (2022). The assessment of ecological livability for agricultural, pasture, forestry, residential, and tourism activities; study area: North of Iran. Sustainability, 14(19), Article 12638. https://doi.org/10.3390/su141912638
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Hekmatnia, H., Mousavi, M. N., Sobhani, N., & Salmanzadeh, S. (2022). Analysis and evaluation of liveability in worn-out urban textures (a case study of Shaheindezh). Journal of Studies of Human Settlements Planning, 17(1), 33–47.
Huang, A., Xu, Y., Liu, C., Hao, J., Sun, P., Zheng, W., & Lu, L. (2018). Evaluation on livability of living space based on multiple functions of land use at county level. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 34(8), 252–261.
Information and Communication Technology Organization of Tehran Municipality. (2022). Statistical yearbook of Tehran city. Tehran.
Istrate, A. L., Chen, F., Kadetz, P., Chang, Y., & Williams, A. R. (2021). Developing an analytical framework for liveable streets in Shanghai. Urban Design International, 26, 3–20. https://doi.org/10.1057/s41289-020-00144-4
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Kovacs-Györi, A., Cabrera-Barona, P., Resch, B., Mehaffy, M., & Blaschke, T. (2019). Assessing and representing livability through the analysis of residential preference. Sustainability, 11(18), Article 4934. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11184934
Kuijlenburg, R. (2020). Teaching urban facility management, global citizenship and livability. Facilities, 38(11/12), 849–857. https://doi.org/10.1108/F-11-2019-0119
Le, T. P., Hoang, P. H., Nguyen, L. X., Bui, T. N., Pham, T. L., & Tran, B. Q. (2023). Urban quality of life evaluation using land price with Status-Quality Trade-Off theory and ecosystem services. International Journal of Strategic Property Management, 27(2), 92–104. https://doi.org/10.3846/ijspm.2023.19124
Lee, K. Y. (2021). Factors influencing urban livability in Seoul, Korea: Urban environmental satisfaction and neighborhood relations. Social Sciences, 10(4), Article 138. https://doi.org/10.3390/socsci10040138
Lowe, M., Whitzman, C., Badland, H., Davern, M., Aye, L., Hes, D., Butterworth, I., & Giles-Corti, B. (2015). Planning healthy, liveable and sustainable cities: How can indicators inform policy? Urban Policy and Research, 33(2), 131–144. https://doi.org/10.1080/08111146.2014.1002606
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